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GOLDFEASIBILITY STUDYPROJECT ECONOMICS

Target Gold Mine Feasibility Study: ZAR 1.52B NPV Over a 5-Year Mine Life

ByMining Stocks Research
Jul 31, 2026
Source:Harmony Gold Mining Company
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Harmony Gold Mining Company's Target Gold Mine in Free State Province, South Africa has a Feasibility Study outlining an after-tax NPV of ZAR 1.52B. The proposed mine plan runs 5 years.

Harmony Gold Mining Company's Target Gold Mine has reported Feasibility Study results for the gold project in Free State Province, South Africa. The study headlines an after-tax net present value of ZAR 1.52B at a 9% discount rate. It reflects Harmony Gold Mining Company's (HMY) latest disclosed economics for the asset.

Economics. The after-tax NPV is ZAR 1.52B using a 9% discount rate. Economics are based on Gold price USD1,878/oz (resource cut-off); cut-off grade 3.08g/t, PRF 94.49%, unit operating cost R/t 2 880.

Production and mine plan. Life of mine is 5 years. Average head grade is 4.46 g/t.

Resources and ownership. The company holds a 100% interest in the project.

These figures are extracted from Harmony Gold Mining Company's technical disclosures and reflect the most recent Feasibility Study on file. Compare this project against other developers and producers in our project economics database, and always verify the numbers against the original technical report before making any investment decision.

Reserves & Resources

Mineral Resources (M&I&I)
CategoryTonnageGradeContained
Measured4.814 Mt8.41 g/t Au40,488 kg
Indicated3.890 Mt6.82 g/t Au26,538 kg
Measured & Indicated8.704 Mt7.70 g/t Au67,025 kg
Inferred3.868 Mt5.75 g/t Au22,237 kg
Mining Stocks Research

Our Analysis

NPV after-tax
$1.52B

higher than 85% of 124 projects we track

Mine life
5yrs
Study price assumption
Gold price USD1,878/oz (resource cut-off); cut-off grade 3.08g/t, PRF 94.49%, unit operating cost R/t 2 880
Spot gold today
$4,139.10/oz

Five years is the whole game here. A feasibility-stage gold project with a $1.52B after-tax NPV that ranks above 85% of the 124 gold projects we track sounds like a top-tier asset, until you anchor on that mine life. This is a short-duration, high-intensity production story, not a durable long-life reserve. The NPV is real, but it is concentrated into a narrow window, which changes how you should read both the valuation and the execution risk.

The rank is meaningful, but it flatters the headline. A 5-year life at feasibility-level certainty (plus or minus 15%) means the $1.52B is heavily dependent on hitting a tight production schedule from day one. There is no multi-decade ramp to smooth out operational stumbles. The study assumes a gold price of USD1,878/oz, against a current spot of $4,139.10/oz. That is not a marginal cushion, it is a massive one, and it cuts both ways: the project is almost certainly profitable at current prices, but the study's own economics are built on a price that is less than half of today's market. The upside is obvious, but so is the question of whether the NPV is even the right number to anchor on when the price deck is so far from reality.

The constraint that matters most is financing relative to the company's position. This is one of 5 projects we track for this company, a diversified portfolio, which means the burden of a build is spread across other assets, but it also means capital allocation is a competition, not a given. A feasibility study in South Africa's Free State Province carries a known jurisdictional risk profile, and a 5-year life does not leave much room for permitting or construction delays to be absorbed. The single question that decides whether this works is simple: can the company execute a build this size, in this jurisdiction, on a timeline that a 5-year mine life cannot flex to accommodate? If yes, the current spot price makes this look very cheap. If not, the rank against peers will not save it.

Our take, benchmarked against the project economics in the Mining Stocks database. Figures are estimates drawn from company technical reports — not investment advice; always verify against the source filing.

View the source filing from
Harmony Gold Mining Company
View Source Filing (PDF) →
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